Tomorrow, the New England Patriots and New York Giants square off in Arizona in Super Bowl XLII for all the marbles. The Patriots going for a perfect season and the Giants looking to shock the world.
Now, I understand that the Giants are a ‘hot’ team, having won 10 road games in a row. That’s not easy and is very admirable. Thing is, the team on the other sideline has won 18 games in a row.
I’m sorry New York, but the Patriots will win this game.
In the week 17 match-up the Patriots 38 – 35 in comeback fashion and many cite that game as a reason why the Giants could stand a chance.
Well, it could easily be why they don’t stand a chance.
1) Giants rookie runningback Ahmad Bradshaw was absent in that game, but so were New England starting offensive linemen Nick Kazcur and Stephen Neal, along with blocking tightend Kyle Brady. Now, with half their blocking specialist (K. Brady is often called a ‘third tackle’ because of his superior blocking ability) missing the game you’d think the Giants vaunted pass rush would tear up Brady. Nope, sorry. In fact, they only sacked him one time… and he torched them by going 32/42 for 356 yards and 2 TDs. In comparison, Eli went 22/32 for 251 yards, 4 TDs, and an interception. He hasn’t thrown an interception since that game.
2) It’s not a home game. Ok, so the Giants went 2 -6 at home this season, but homefield advantage is still a plus. On top of this, it’s in a dome. Warm weather. Remember what the Patriots looked like back when the weather was warm? Yeah, they were even more unstoppable. There won’t be wind and snow to throw off the deep passing game this time.
3) The Giants secondary relies on the pressure of their front four. They pressure their quarterback into mistakes. You might look at the poor play, at least by New England’s standards, against San Diego and Jacksonville… but realize that the defensive backfield of the Jags and Bolts are great, physical corners that have the size and ability to take on Moss, Welker, and Stallworth. Aaron Ross, Jason Webster, and co. aren’t that good.
4) The Giants special teams won’t register a touchdown. In the week 17 matchup Giants returnman Hixon took one to the house. It was the only kickoff for a touchdown the Giants had all season. And the only one the Patriots have allowed all season.
5) Last year the Colts had the hottest running game in the playoffs and it carried them to the podium where they were handed the Lombardi trophy. Patriots RB Laurence Maroney is the leading rusher in the playoffs this year, and not against chumps either. The Jags and Chargers both have pretty good run defenses, which makes Maroney’s accomplishment even greater. If the Pats struggle in the passing game, they will have no problem running with Maroney.
The Giants have had a great season, but the Patriots are something special this year. Not only that, but the AFC is just far superior to the NFC. If it had been the Chargers (with injured Gates, Rivers, and LT) I’d still pick them over the Giants. I’d pick the Colts over the Giants. I’d pick even the Jaguars over the Giants.
Patriots win. 42 – 24